Umbiko omusha owenziwa ngenqubomgomo yenqubomgomo ye-Multi-yababambiseki evuselelekayo i-Ren21 ekhishwe kuleli sonto ithola ukuthi iningi lochwepheshe bomhlaba wonke linethemba lokuthi umhlaba ungaphenduka ilikusasa lamandla avuselelekayo elingu-100% ngekhulu leminyaka.
Kodwa-ke, ukuzethemba ekwenzeni lokhu kuguqulwa kwezinguquko esifundeni kuya esifundeni, futhi kunenkolelo esondelene nendawo yonke yokuthi izindawo zokuhamba zinokuhlanzeka ngo-100%.
Lo mbiko, waqamba ama-ren21 avuselelwa kusasa ngekusasa lomhlaba wonke, abeka izihloko eziyimpikiswano eziyi-12 kuya kwabangu-114 ochwepheshe bamandla abadumile abadonswa kuwo wonke amakhona amane omhlaba. Inhloso bekuwukukhuphula kanye nokubangela impikiswano mayelana nezinselelo ezibalulekile ezibhekene namandla avuselelekayo, futhi waqikelela ukufaka ama-skeptics avuselelekayo njengengxenye yalabo abahloliwe.
Akukho ukubikezela noma ukuqagela okwenziwe; Esikhundleni salokho, izimpendulo nemibono yangochwepheshe zahlanganiswa ukuze zakhe isithombe esibumbene salapho abantu bakholelwa khona ikusasa lamandla libhekiswe. Impendulo ephawuleka kunazo zonke yayigcotshwe umbuzo 1: "Ukuvuselelwa okungu-100% - umphumela onengqondo wesivumelwano seParis?" Kulokhu, abangaphezu kwama-70% abaphenduli abekholelwa ukuthi umhlaba ungaba namandla ayi-100% ngamandla avuselelekayo ngo-2050, ochwepheshe baseYurophu nase-Australia basekela kakhulu lo mbono.
Ngokuvamile kwakukhona "ukuvumelana okumangazayo" lokho kuvuselelwa kuzobusa umkhakha wamandla, ochwepheshe baphawula ukuthi izinkampani ezinkulu zamazwe aphesheya manje ziya ngokuya zithola imikhiqizo yamandla evuselelekayo kungaba ekutshalweni okuvuselelekayo.
Cishe ama-70% ochwepheshe abaxoxwa nabo babenethemba lokuthi izindleko zokuvuselelwa zizoqhubeka nokuwa, futhi zizokwengeza izindleko zawo wonke ama-fossil fuel ngo-2027. Ngokulinganayo, iningi liyaqiniseka ukuthi ukukhula kwe-GDP kungavinjelwa ekukhuliseni amandla ukusetshenziswa kwamandla, namazwe Ukwehluka njengeDenmark neChina ekhonjiwe njengezibonelo zezizwe ezikwazile ukunciphisa ukusetshenziswa kwamandla kodwa zikujabulele ukukhula komnotho.
Izinselelo eziphambili ezihlonziwe
Ithemba ngekusasa elihlanzayo phakathi kwalabo ochwepheshe abangu-114 bavuthwe yimisebenzi evamile yokuvinjwa, ikakhulukazi phakathi kwamazwi athile eJapan, i-US nase-Afrika lapho okukhohlisayo kulezi zindawo ezivuselelekayo ukufezekisa ngokugcwele. Ikakhulu, izintshisakalo eziveziwe zemboni yamandla evamile zikhonjelwe njengezithiyo ezinzima futhi eziqine
Ngokuqondene nezokuthutha, "ukushintshwa kwe-modal" kudingeka ukuguqula ngokuphelele ukuthi i-trajectory yamandla ehlanzekile ehlanzekile, kutholakale umbiko. Ukufakwa esikhundleni kwezinjini zokuvutha ngogesi kuzokwanela ukuguqula umkhakha, iningi lezazi likholwe, kanti ukwamukelwa okubanzi kwesitimela kunesisulu esiseceleni komgwaqo kuzoba nomthelela osuselwa emgaqweni. Bambalwa, nokho, bakholelwa ukuthi kungenzeka ukuthi lokhu kungenzeka.
Futhi njengakuqala, ochwepheshe abaningi babegxeka ohulumeni abahlulekile ukuletha inqubomgomo yesikhathi eside ukutshala imali evuselelekayo - ukwehluleka kobuholi okubonwe kude naku-UK ne-US, kuye eSouth-Saharan Africa naseNingizimu Melika naseNingizimu Melika naseNingizimu Melika naseNingizimu Melika naseNingizimu Melika naseNingizimu Melika naseNingizimu Melika naseNingizimu Melika naseNingizimu Melika naseNingizimu Melika naseNingizimu Melika naseNingizimu Melika naseNingizimu Melika.
"Lo mbiko uletha imibono ehlukahlukene yesazi, futhi kwenzelwe ukucubungula kanye namathuba okuthola amathuba nezinselelo zokufeza ikusasa lamandla avuselelekayo elingu-100 ngekhulu le-3. "Ukucabanga okufisayo ngeke kusikhuphule lapho; Ngokuqonda ngokuphelele izinselelo nokuzibandakanya nempikiswano enolwazi lokuthi ungazinqoba kanjani, ingabe ohulumeni bangathatha izinqubomgomo ezifanele nezinceku zezimali ukusheshisa ijubane lokuthunyelwa. "
U-Ren21 uSihlalo uZardos ungeze ukuthi bambalwa ababezokholwa ngo-2004 (lapho uRen21 asungulwa) ukuthi ngonyaka ovuselelekayo uzoba ngu-86% wokufakwa kwamandla ahlanzekile kuwo wonke ama-EU, "Izingcingo ke ama-100% amandla avuselelekayo awazange athathwe ngokungathi sína," kusho uZervos. "Namuhla, ochwepheshe bamandla abaphambili bezwe bahlanganyela ezingxoxweni ezinengqondo mayelana nokwenzeka kwalo, futhi ngasiphi isikhathi."
Okutholakele Okungeziwe
Izimpikiswano zombiko ezithi ' Ingabe ophumelele uthatha konke 'uma kukhulunywa ngokuzukulwane okuvuselelekayo kwamandla; izoshisa kagesi ngokushisa okushisayo okushisayo; Mangaki isabelo semakethe esizodingeka izimoto zikagesi; ukugcinwa komncintiswano noma umsekeli wegridi yamandla; Amathuba amadolobha ama-mega, kanye nokuvuselelwa kwamandla okuthuthukisa ukufinyelela kwamandla kubo bonke.
Ochwepheshe abangu-114 bavotelwa abavotelwa emhlabeni wonke, futhi umbiko weRen21 wahlela izimpendulo zawo ezimaphakathi ngesifunda. Le ndlela ochwepheshe bezifunda ngazinye basabela ngayo:
●Kwa-Afrika, ukuvumelana okusobala kakhulu ukuthi impikiswano yokufinyelela kwamandla isenqamula mpikiswano yamandla avuselelekayo ayi-100%.
●E-Australia nase-Oceania ukhiye wokuthatha indawo ukuthi kulindelwe okuphezulu kokuvuselelwa okuyi-100%.
●Ochwepheshe baseChina bakholelwa ukuthi ezinye izifunda zase China zingafinyelela ukuvuselelwa okungu-100%, kepha bakholelwe ukuthi lokhu kuyindidane ngokweqile emhlabeni jikelele.
● Ukukhathazeka okuyinhloko kweYurophu kuqinisekisa ukwesekwa okuqinile kokuvuselelwa okuyi-100% ukulwa nokushintsha kwesimo sezulu.
●ENdiya, le mpikiswano evuselelwa eyi-100% isaqhubeka, nengxenye yalabo abazokholwa abavotelwe yilitshe elingalindelekile ngo-2050.
● Ngesifunda saseLatm, impikiswano engavuselelwa nge-100% ayikaqali, ngezinto ezicindezelwa kakhulu njengamanje etafuleni.
● Izingqinamba zesikhala seJapan zinciphisa okulindelwe mayelana nokuthi kungenzeka ukuthi kuvuselelwe ngo-100%, ochwepheshe ezweni elishiwo.
● E-US kukhona ukungabaza okuqinile mayelana nokuvuselelwa okungu-100% ngochwepheshe ababili kwabayisishiyagalombili abaqiniseka ukuthi kungenzeka.
Isikhathi sePosi: Jun-03-2019